"Star Trek: Beyond" is set to premiere this Friday, and while its opening might be smaller than the other two films in J.J. Abrams' universe, it's still expected to hit No. 1 for the weekend.
"Beyond" is expected to debut with $50 million, according to The Hollywood Reporter, in the lower range of the $48 million to $60 million opening predicted by Deadline.com earlier this month. However, if reviews of the film continue to trend high — aggregator Rotten Tomatoes has critic approval rating at 93 percent through 55 reviews late Wednesday — there is a good possibility the film could indeed achieve the higher end of its opening target between $55 million and $60 million.
That should make easy work of "Ice Age: Collision Course," which is tracking for a $25 million opening, the trade publication said. The latest animated installment in Twentieth Century Fox's nearly $3 billion franchise. Although early overseas numbers are strong, reviews in North America have been abysmal. In fact, of 48 critics surveyed by Rotten Tomatoes, only 15 percent gave it the thumbs up late Wednesday.
"Ghostbusters," which opened to $46.1 million last weekend, is expected to drop to the $20 million range, while "The Secret Life of Pets" should be in the $25 million range.
The opening should be enough to give "Beyond" the third largest opening weekend in Star Trek franchise history, when adjusted for inflation. While it will follow both 2009's "Star Trek" and 2013's "Star Trek: Into Darkness" with $84.6 million and $72.3 million openings respectively, it would finish just ahead of the adjusted opening of 1996's "Star Trek: First Contact," which pulled in $47.3 million when converted to 2016 value.
Outside of 1979's "Star Trek: The Motion Picture" and 2002's "Star Trek: Nemesis" — which opened to $41.7 million and $24.8 million respectively — most of the Star Trek films had openings in the $30 million range, when adjusted for inflation. Of course, many of those films opened in the days before megaplex theaters, where practically anyone who wishes to see a film on opening weekend would have the chance to do it.
Domestic gross is still only secondary for films now. "Collision Course," for example, already has made $127 million internationally. Observers expect "Beyond" could top $500 million worldwide — which would be a first for a Star Trek film — thanks to what's expected to be at least $100 million coming from China alone.
And in case you're wondering, the reigning champion for largest worldwide box office when adjusted for inflation remains "The Motion Picture" at $485.6 million. That's just ahead of "Into Darkness," whose 2013 total adjusts to $481.5 million.
"Star Trek: Beyond" opens Friday.
Biggest Star Trek Openings, inflation-adjusted (opening gross, worldwide gross)
|1.||Star Trek (2009)||$84.6 million||$433.9 million|
|2.||Star Trek: Into Darkness (2013)||$72.3 million||$481.5 million|
|3.||Star Trek: First Contact (1996)||$47.3 million||$231.1 million|
|4.||Star Trek: The Motion Picture (1979)||$41.7 million||$485.6 million|
|5.||Star Trek III: The Search for Spock (1984)||$38.9 million||$203.1 million|
|6.||Star Trek: Generations (1994)||$37.5 million||$194.7 million|
|7.||Star Trek IV: The Voyage Home (1986)||$36.5 million||$287.8 million|
|8.||Star Trek II: The Wrath of Khan (1982)||$36.1 million||$241.1 million|
|9.||Star Trek V: The Final Frontier (1989)||$34.0 million||$137.8 million|
|10.||Star Trek: Insurrection (1998)||$32.3 million||$172.7 million|
|11.||Star Trek VI: The Undiscovered Country (1991)||$32.1 million||$171.3 million|
|12.||Star Trek: Nemesis (2002)||$24.8 million||$90.1 million|